Monthly Archives: January 2007

As Pataki Takes an ’08 Breather, Rudy Starts to Turn DC Spin

While the Manchester Union Leader is reporting this afternoon on its blog that George Pataki’s entry into the 2008 presidential contest is hardly imminent and perhaps a no-go, Rudy Giuliani is making some political and personnel moves as of late that are getting skeptics to take a second look.

Here’s the Union Leader:

Pataki isn’t ready to join the race
By JOHN DISTASO
Senior Political Reporter

MANCHESTER – He didn’t directly take himself out of presidential contention, but former New York Gov. George Pataki told key Granite State Republicans last night he won’t object if they want to closely examine and endorse other candidates.
At a private dinner in a secluded alcove at Fratello’s Italian Ristorante in Manchester on Tuesday night, Pataki told about a dozen activists and uncommited GOP leaders that “he’s going to let the dust settle and see where we are in a few months,” House Republican Leader Michael Whalley told UnionLeader.com today.

More on Rudy shortly…

More Nagging Questions About Viability of Giuliani’s Presidential Bid

Giuliani_1
The new DC political blog, The Politico, is up today with an interesting article by former NY Daily News reporter Ben Smith and Jonathan Martin raising still more questions about Rudy Giuliani’s nascent presidential campaign effort.

I still say he’s out by the end of first quarter — despite the news that Rudy is selling the investment banking side of his business, a smart move.

GOP consultant Chris LaCivita gets right to the point:

“I doubt his ability to actually go through with it to the end,” said Republican strategist Chris LaCivita, who is not working for any of the presidential hopefuls. “Here we are, it’s the 17th of January, we’ve got straw polls around the corner, and they don’t have a media consultant or a pollster yet? That’s a tell-tale sign.”

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0107/2433.html

“Outsider” Romney Making a Good Run Lining-Up GOP House Members

An interesting development between the two true GOP frontrunners John McCain and Mitt Romney is how DC outsider Romney is making a good run at lining up U.S. House members in his camp.

McCain’s got a slew of House endorsements to make once he takes the plunge as an official candidate, but there’s little question Romney is making a play at being on the offensive inside the beltway, and its being noticed. Jim McCrery, a major ‘get’, is the latest overt Romney-backer.

Giuliani Effort Takes on Potemkin Village Appearance

As GOP presidential candidates John McCain and Mitt Romney continue to crisply line up staff, issue policy pronouncements that have the appearance of substance, and act like the top tier primary candidates they are, Rudy Giuliani’s effort is beginning to take on the appearance of a Potemkin village.

The Rudy forces argue that, indeed, they’re also lining up quality staff – and they are, in addition to “leading” in most national polls – but his exploratory effort is now reacting to developments, not shaping them. Whereas the McCain and Romney operations are competent and proactive, the Giuliani team is increasingly slow on the draw, and beginning to get sucked down into the nitty-gritty sinkhole of scrutiny that has long been predicted.

Things have changed now that it’s closer to prime time, and the drift generally started with the purloined campaign document drama, which made Rudy’s team appear foolish, and has moved on to the interesting notion of trademarking his own name.

As New York Daily News’ David Saltonstall recently wrote, Giuliani “never shrank from defending his image as mayor” but “as a businessman he’s gone a step further” trademarked his own name. The “unusual step” states that “trade names and trademarks ‘Rudolph Giuliani or ‘Giuliani Partners LLC’…shall not be used…without prior written consent.” Doing anything that “tarnishes, degrades disparages or reflects adversely on the Giuliani name” will be “grounds for terminating the contract.” The trademarking of his name underscores a central question of his candidacy, wrote Saltonstall: “How will his roster of mostly private business clients play when viewed through the harsh prism of presidential campaign politics?”

Giuliani spokesperson Sunny Mindel’s react, on whether Rudy will release a list of clients, said: “We are reviewing that right now. But I would reiterate that voters are sophisticated enough to distinguish between public sector and private sector, and they know leadership when they see it”

Hello?

This simply isn’t realistic, and the fact this was even uttered for the record (although in her defense, what else could she say?… as its clear events and hounding from the media are outpacing Rudy Inc.’s ability to process political reality) makes it quite clear the business side and the political side are far from being in synch.

With smart, high quality people like Chris Henick around him (by far his most experienced national operative), Rudy’s got a shot to stay competitive with McCain and Romney – at least for a few more months to buy time to see if he can get his structural act together.

But that’s not likely to happen, and he will most likely decide not to run by the end of 2007’s first quarter. It’s also the smart play for him personally, as well as for his business. Fairly or unfairly, the last two weeks of bad press is just the tip of the iceberg if he decides to stay in this game, and he’s not close to being able to withstand legitimate scrutiny.